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Informe actividad solar

Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2020 Aug 23 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 236 Publicado el 2200Z a las 23 Aug 2020

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 22-2100Z hasta 23-2100Z

Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low on days one, two, and three (24 Aug, 25 Aug, 26 Aug).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 22-2100Z a 23-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 409 km/s at 23/2051Z. Total IMF reached 8 nT at 23/1308Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at 22/2203Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 134 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels on day one (24 Aug), quiet to active levels on day two (25 Aug) and quiet to unsettled levels on day three (26 Aug).
III. Probabilidades del evento 24 Aug a 26 Aug
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       23 Aug 071
  Previsto   24 Aug-26 Aug 070/070/070
  Media de 90 Días        23 Aug 070

V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 22 Aug  013/008
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 23 Aug  007/007
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 24 Aug-26 Aug  007/008-011/012-008/008

VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 24 Aug a 26 Aug
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo10%30%25%
Tormenta Menor01%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo15%15%15%
Tormenta Menor25%30%30%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa20%35%30%

All times in UTC

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