Viendo archivo del jueves, 10 septiembre 2020
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2020 Sep 10 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 254 Publicado el 2200Z a las 10 Sep 2020IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 09-2100Z hasta 10-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (11 Sep, 12 Sep, 13 Sep).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 09-2100Z a 10-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 448 km/s at 09/2337Z. Total IMF reached 5 nT at
10/1426Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
10/0443Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 3580 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (11 Sep, 12 Sep, 13
Sep).
III. Probabilidades del evento 11 Sep a 13 Sep
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 10 Sep 069 Previsto 11 Sep-13 Sep 070/070/070 Media de 90 Días 10 Sep 070
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 09 Sep 001/003 Estimado Afr/Ap 10 Sep 002/003 Previsto Afr/Ap 11 Sep-13 Sep 006/005-006/005-006/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 11 Sep a 13 Sep
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 10% | 10% |
All times in UTC
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