Viendo archivo del sábado, 12 septiembre 2020
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2020 Sep 12 2215 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 256 Publicado el 2200Z a las 12 Sep 2020IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 11-2100Z hasta 12-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (13 Sep, 14 Sep, 15 Sep).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 11-2100Z a 12-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 350 km/s at 12/1857Z. Total IMF reached 6
nT at 12/1012Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at
12/0604Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 788 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (13 Sep, 14 Sep, 15
Sep).
III. Probabilidades del evento 13 Sep a 15 Sep
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 12 Sep 069 Previsto 13 Sep-15 Sep 069/069/069 Media de 90 Días 12 Sep 070
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 11 Sep 002/003 Estimado Afr/Ap 12 Sep 007/006 Previsto Afr/Ap 13 Sep-15 Sep 006/005-006/005-006/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 13 Sep a 15 Sep
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 10% | 10% |
All times in UTC
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