Viendo archivo del viernes, 18 septiembre 2020
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2020 Sep 18 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 262 Publicado el 2200Z a las 18 Sep 2020IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 17-2100Z hasta 18-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (19 Sep, 20 Sep, 21 Sep).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 17-2100Z a 18-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 333 km/s at 18/1910Z. Total IMF reached 8
nT at 18/1559Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
18/1552Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 288 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (19 Sep, 20 Sep, 21
Sep).
III. Probabilidades del evento 19 Sep a 21 Sep
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 18 Sep 070 Previsto 19 Sep-21 Sep 070/070/070 Media de 90 Días 18 Sep 070
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 17 Sep 005/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 18 Sep 004/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 19 Sep-21 Sep 006/005-006/005-006/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 19 Sep a 21 Sep
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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