Viendo archivo del jueves, 24 septiembre 2020
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2020 Sep 24 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 268 Publicado el 2200Z a las 24 Sep 2020IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 23-2100Z hasta 24-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (25 Sep, 26 Sep, 27 Sep).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 23-2100Z a 24-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to minor storm levels for the past 24 hours.
Solar wind speed reached a peak of 535 km/s at 24/0853Z. Total IMF
reached 11 nT at 24/0240Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached
-9 nT at 24/0453Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit
reached a peak level of 1232 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at unsettled to active levels on day one (25 Sep) and quiet to
active levels on days two and three (26 Sep, 27 Sep).
III. Probabilidades del evento 25 Sep a 27 Sep
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 24 Sep 074 Previsto 25 Sep-27 Sep 074/074/074 Media de 90 Días 24 Sep 070
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 23 Sep 010/011 Estimado Afr/Ap 24 Sep 017/022 Previsto Afr/Ap 25 Sep-27 Sep 013/018-014/016-012/014
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 25 Sep a 27 Sep
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 35% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 10% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 50% | 45% | 60% |
All times in UTC
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