Viendo archivo del domingo, 27 septiembre 2020
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2020 Sep 27 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 271 Publicado el 2200Z a las 27 Sep 2020IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 26-2100Z hasta 27-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (28 Sep, 29 Sep, 30 Sep).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 26-2100Z a 27-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to minor storm levels for the past 24 hours.
Solar wind speed reached a peak of 613 km/s at 27/2051Z. Total IMF
reached 10 nT at 27/1959Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached
-9 nT at 27/2008Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit
reached a peak level of 16736 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at unsettled to major storm levels on days one and two (28 Sep, 29
Sep) and quiet to minor storm levels on day three (30 Sep).
III. Probabilidades del evento 28 Sep a 30 Sep
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 27 Sep 074 Previsto 28 Sep-30 Sep 072/072/072 Media de 90 Días 27 Sep 071
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 26 Sep 018/022 Estimado Afr/Ap 27 Sep 015/020 Previsto Afr/Ap 28 Sep-30 Sep 027/038-026/038-020/026
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 28 Sep a 30 Sep
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 45% | 40% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 25% | 25% | 10% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 85% | 80% | 75% |
All times in UTC
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