Viendo archivo del miércoles, 30 septiembre 2020
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2020 Sep 30 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 274 Publicado el 2200Z a las 30 Sep 2020IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 29-2100Z hasta 30-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (01 Oct, 02 Oct, 03 Oct).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 29-2100Z a 30-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 642 km/s at 30/1435Z. Total IMF reached 5
nT at 30/0242Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
29/2346Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 29293 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on day one (01 Oct), quiet to unsettled
levels on day two (02 Oct) and quiet levels on day three (03 Oct).
III. Probabilidades del evento 01 Oct a 03 Oct
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 30 Sep 073 Previsto 01 Oct-03 Oct 074/074/074 Media de 90 Días 30 Sep 071
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 29 Sep 014/014 Estimado Afr/Ap 30 Sep 017/020 Previsto Afr/Ap 01 Oct-03 Oct 013/015-011/010-006/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 01 Oct a 03 Oct
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 45% | 10% | 10% |
All times in UTC
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