Viendo archivo del lunes, 5 octubre 2020
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2020 Oct 05 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 279 Publicado el 2200Z a las 05 Oct 2020IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 04-2100Z hasta 05-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (06 Oct, 07 Oct, 08 Oct).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 04-2100Z a 05-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 382 km/s at 05/1903Z. Total IMF reached 9
nT at 05/1919Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -9 nT at
05/1915Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 42682 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on day one (06 Oct) and quiet levels on
days two and three (07 Oct, 08 Oct).
III. Probabilidades del evento 06 Oct a 08 Oct
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 05 Oct 072 Previsto 06 Oct-08 Oct 070/070/070 Media de 90 Días 05 Oct 071
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 04 Oct 003/003 Estimado Afr/Ap 05 Oct 007/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 06 Oct-08 Oct 010/010-006/005-006/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 06 Oct a 08 Oct
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 25% | 10% | 10% |
All times in UTC
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