Viendo archivo del miércoles, 28 octubre 2020
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2020 Oct 28 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 302 Publicado el 2200Z a las 28 Oct 2020IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 27-2100Z hasta 28-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 2 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be low with a
slight chance for an M-class flare on days one, two, and three (29 Oct,
30 Oct, 31 Oct).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 27-2100Z a 28-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 536 km/s at 27/2214Z. Total IMF reached 5
nT at 28/1458Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at
28/1432Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 21570 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (29 Oct) and quiet levels
on days two and three (30 Oct, 31 Oct).
III. Probabilidades del evento 29 Oct a 31 Oct
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 28 Oct 088 Previsto 29 Oct-31 Oct 088/088/088 Media de 90 Días 28 Oct 072
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 27 Oct 007/008 Estimado Afr/Ap 28 Oct 008/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 29 Oct-31 Oct 007/008-006/005-006/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 29 Oct a 31 Oct
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 30% | 25% | 25% |
All times in UTC
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