Viendo archivo del viernes, 30 octubre 2020
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2020 Oct 30 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 304 Publicado el 2200Z a las 30 Oct 2020IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 29-2100Z hasta 30-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 2 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be low with a
slight chance for an M-class flare on days one, two, and three (31 Oct,
01 Nov, 02 Nov).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 29-2100Z a 30-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 455 km/s at 30/0607Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at
geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 8657 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one and three (31 Oct, 02
Nov) and quiet to active levels on day two (01 Nov).
III. Probabilidades del evento 31 Oct a 02 Nov
| Clase M | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 30 Oct 080 Previsto 31 Oct-02 Nov 080/080/078 Media de 90 Días 30 Oct 072
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 29 Oct 011/012 Estimado Afr/Ap 30 Oct 008/007 Previsto Afr/Ap 31 Oct-02 Nov 008/008-011/012-007/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 31 Oct a 02 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 15% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 30% | 45% | 30% |
All times in UTC
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