Viendo archivo del jueves, 5 noviembre 2020
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2020 Nov 05 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 310 Publicado el 2200Z a las 05 Nov 2020IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 04-2100Z hasta 05-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 2 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be low with a
slight chance for an M-class flare on days one, two, and three (06 Nov,
07 Nov, 08 Nov).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 04-2100Z a 05-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 382 km/s at 05/2041Z. Total IMF reached 10 nT at
05/2042Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -7 nT at
05/2042Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 2952 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one and two (06 Nov, 07 Nov)
and quiet levels on day three (08 Nov).
III. Probabilidades del evento 06 Nov a 08 Nov
| Clase M | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 05 Nov 091 Previsto 06 Nov-08 Nov 091/091/091 Media de 90 Días 05 Nov 073
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 04 Nov 001/001 Estimado Afr/Ap 05 Nov 002/004 Previsto Afr/Ap 06 Nov-08 Nov 007/008-008/008-006/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 06 Nov a 08 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 25% | 25% | 10% |
All times in UTC
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