Viendo archivo del lunes, 9 noviembre 2020
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2020 Nov 09 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 314 Publicado el 2200Z a las 09 Nov 2020IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 08-2100Z hasta 09-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 1 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be low with a
slight chance for an M-class flare on days one and two (10 Nov, 11 Nov)
and expected to be very low with a chance for a C-class flares and a
slight chance for an M-class flare on day three (12 Nov).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 08-2100Z a 09-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 454 km/s at 09/0025Z. Total IMF reached 5 nT at
09/2052Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -2 nT at
09/1358Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 820 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (10 Nov, 11 Nov, 12
Nov).
III. Probabilidades del evento 10 Nov a 12 Nov
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 09 Nov 090 Previsto 10 Nov-12 Nov 090/090/090 Media de 90 Días 09 Nov 074
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 08 Nov 003/003 Estimado Afr/Ap 09 Nov 001/003 Previsto Afr/Ap 10 Nov-12 Nov 006/005-006/005-006/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 10 Nov a 12 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 10% | 20% |
All times in UTC
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