Viendo archivo del lunes, 23 noviembre 2020

Informe actividad solar

Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2020 Nov 23 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 328 Publicado el 2200Z a las 23 Nov 2020

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 22-2100Z hasta 23-2100Z

Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 3 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low with a chance for a C-class flares and a slight chance for an M-class flare on day one (24 Nov) and likely to be low with a slight chance for an M-class flare on days two and three (25 Nov, 26 Nov).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 22-2100Z a 23-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 619 km/s at 23/0245Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 2400 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to active levels on days one and two (24 Nov, 25 Nov) and quiet to unsettled levels on day three (26 Nov).
III. Probabilidades del evento 24 Nov a 26 Nov
Clase M10%10%15%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       23 Nov 096
  Previsto   24 Nov-26 Nov 098/100/100
  Media de 90 Días        23 Nov 076

V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 22 Nov  019/024
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 23 Nov  009/010
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 24 Nov-26 Nov  009/010-009/012-007/010

VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 24 Nov a 26 Nov
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo25%30%25%
Tormenta Menor10%15%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo15%15%15%
Tormenta Menor30%30%30%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa40%45%40%

All times in UTC

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