Viendo archivo del jueves, 24 diciembre 2020
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2020 Dec 24 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 359 Publicado el 2200Z a las 24 Dec 2020IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 23-2100Z hasta 24-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 2 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a slight chance for a C-class flare on days one, two, and three (25
Dec, 26 Dec, 27 Dec).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 23-2100Z a 24-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 590 km/s at 24/1237Z. Total IMF reached 5
nT at 24/0506Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
24/1039Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 1539 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on day one (25 Dec), quiet to unsettled
levels on day two (26 Dec) and quiet levels on day three (27 Dec).
III. Probabilidades del evento 25 Dec a 27 Dec
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 24 Dec 087 Previsto 25 Dec-27 Dec 088/088/088 Media de 90 Días 24 Dec 083
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 23 Dec 011/011 Estimado Afr/Ap 24 Dec 011/016 Previsto Afr/Ap 25 Dec-27 Dec 011/015-008/008-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 25 Dec a 27 Dec
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 20% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 05% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 45% | 25% | 10% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 04/02/2026 | X4.21 |
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