Viendo archivo del miércoles, 30 diciembre 2020
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2020 Dec 30 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 365 Publicado el 2200Z a las 30 Dec 2020IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 29-2100Z hasta 30-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 2 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a slight chance for a C-class flare on days one, two, and three (31
Dec, 01 Jan, 02 Jan).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 29-2100Z a 30-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 534 km/s at 30/1253Z. Total IMF reached 6
nT at 29/2100Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at
30/0229Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 405 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (31 Dec) and quiet levels
on days two and three (01 Jan, 02 Jan).
III. Probabilidades del evento 31 Dec a 02 Jan
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 30 Dec 083 Previsto 31 Dec-02 Jan 083/083/083 Media de 90 Días 30 Dec 084
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 29 Dec 005/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 30 Dec 008/009 Previsto Afr/Ap 31 Dec-02 Jan 009/008-005/005-006/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 31 Dec a 02 Jan
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 20% | 10% | 10% |
All times in UTC
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