Viendo archivo del martes, 19 enero 2021
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2021 Jan 19 2235 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 19 Publicado el 2200Z a las 19 Jan 2021IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 18-2100Z hasta 19-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C1 event observed at
19/1754Z. There are currently 1 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a slight chance for a C-class flare on days one, two, and three (20
Jan, 21 Jan, 22 Jan).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 18-2100Z a 19-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 339 km/s at 19/1222Z. Total IMF reached 8
nT at 19/2048Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -6 nT at
19/0136Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on days one and two (20 Jan, 21 Jan) and
quiet to unsettled levels on day three (22 Jan).
III. Probabilidades del evento 20 Jan a 22 Jan
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 19 Jan 078 Previsto 20 Jan-22 Jan 080/085/085 Media de 90 Días 19 Jan 085
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 18 Jan 003/002 Estimado Afr/Ap 19 Jan 007/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 20 Jan-22 Jan 011/014-011/014-009/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 20 Jan a 22 Jan
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 35% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 55% | 45% | 35% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 04/02/2026 | X4.21 |
| Último evento clase M | 25/02/2026 | M2.4 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 03/03/2026 | Kp5 (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
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