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Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2021 Jan 27 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 27 Publicado el 2200Z a las 27 Jan 2021IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 26-2100Z hasta 27-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 2 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a slight chance for a C-class flare on days one, two, and three (28
Jan, 29 Jan, 30 Jan).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 26-2100Z a 27-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 596 km/s at 27/1156Z. Total IMF reached 5
nT at 27/0609Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
27/0221Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 3242 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (28 Jan) and quiet levels
on days two and three (29 Jan, 30 Jan).
III. Probabilidades del evento 28 Jan a 30 Jan
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 27 Jan 076 Previsto 28 Jan-30 Jan 076/076/074 Media de 90 Días 27 Jan 085
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 26 Jan 009/010 Estimado Afr/Ap 27 Jan 008/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 28 Jan-30 Jan 008/008-006/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 28 Jan a 30 Jan
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 20% | 10% | 10% |
All times in UTC
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