Viendo archivo del sábado, 27 febrero 2021

Informe actividad solar

Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2021 Feb 27 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 58 Publicado el 2200Z a las 27 Feb 2021

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 26-2100Z hasta 27-2100Z

Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a C2 event observed at 27/1800Z from Region 2804 (N21W74). There are currently 1 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low with a chance for a C-class flares on days one and two (28 Feb, 01 Mar) and expected to be very low on day three (02 Mar).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 26-2100Z a 27-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 457 km/s at 26/2206Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 1628 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels on day one (28 Feb), quiet to active levels on day two (01 Mar) and unsettled to minor storm levels on day three (02 Mar).
III. Probabilidades del evento 28 Feb a 02 Mar
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       27 Feb 079
  Previsto   28 Feb-02 Mar 080/078/074
  Media de 90 Días        27 Feb 080

V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 26 Feb  008/009
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 27 Feb  005/005
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 28 Feb-02 Mar  006/005-010/012-015/018

VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 28 Feb a 02 Mar
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo05%25%40%
Tormenta Menor01%10%25%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%05%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo15%15%10%
Tormenta Menor20%30%25%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa10%40%60%

All times in UTC

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