Viendo archivo del sábado, 27 febrero 2021
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2021 Feb 27 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 58 Publicado el 2200Z a las 27 Feb 2021IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 26-2100Z hasta 27-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C2 event observed at
27/1800Z from Region 2804 (N21W74). There are currently 1 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a chance for a C-class flares on days one and two (28 Feb, 01 Mar)
and expected to be very low on day three (02 Mar).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 26-2100Z a 27-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 457 km/s at 26/2206Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at
geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 1628 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on day one (28 Feb), quiet to active levels on day
two (01 Mar) and unsettled to minor storm levels on day three (02 Mar).
III. Probabilidades del evento 28 Feb a 02 Mar
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 27 Feb 079 Previsto 28 Feb-02 Mar 080/078/074 Media de 90 Días 27 Feb 080
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 26 Feb 008/009 Estimado Afr/Ap 27 Feb 005/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 28 Feb-02 Mar 006/005-010/012-015/018
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 28 Feb a 02 Mar
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 25% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 10% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 40% | 60% |
All times in UTC
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