Viendo archivo del jueves, 25 marzo 2021
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2021 Mar 25 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 84 Publicado el 2200Z a las 25 Mar 2021IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 24-2100Z hasta 25-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 2 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a slight chance for a C-class flare on days one, two, and three (26
Mar, 27 Mar, 28 Mar).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 24-2100Z a 25-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to minor storm levels for the past 24 hours.
Solar wind speed reached a peak of 444 km/s at 25/0359Z. Total IMF
reached 8 nT at 24/2140Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached
-6 nT at 25/1221Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit
reached a peak level of 5101 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (26 Mar), quiet levels on
day two (27 Mar) and active levels on day three (28 Mar).
III. Probabilidades del evento 26 Mar a 28 Mar
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 25 Mar 079 Previsto 26 Mar-28 Mar 080/080/075 Media de 90 Días 25 Mar 077
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 24 Mar 011/010 Estimado Afr/Ap 25 Mar 016/017 Previsto Afr/Ap 26 Mar-28 Mar 007/008-006/005-020/025
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 26 Mar a 28 Mar
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 05% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 15% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 20% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 15% | 10% | 65% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 04/02/2026 | X4.21 |
| Último evento clase M | 25/02/2026 | M2.3 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 22/02/2026 | Kp5+ (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Last 365 days | 3 días |
| 2026 | 3 días (5%) |
| Último día sin manchas | 24/02/2026 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| enero 2026 | 112.6 -11.4 |
| febrero 2026 | 78.9 -33.7 |
| Last 30 days | 86.6 -35.9 |