Viendo archivo del sábado, 10 abril 2021
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2021 Apr 10 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 100 Publicado el 2200Z a las 10 Apr 2021IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 09-2100Z hasta 10-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (11 Apr, 12 Apr, 13 Apr).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 09-2100Z a 10-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 404 km/s at 09/2205Z. Total IMF reached 5 nT at
10/1848Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
10/1451Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 141 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (11 Apr) and quiet levels
on days two and three (12 Apr, 13 Apr).
III. Probabilidades del evento 11 Apr a 13 Apr
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 10 Apr 070 Previsto 11 Apr-13 Apr 071/071/071 Media de 90 Días 10 Apr 076
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 09 Apr 002/002 Estimado Afr/Ap 10 Apr 005/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 11 Apr-13 Apr 008/008-006/005-006/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 11 Apr a 13 Apr
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 01% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 25% | 20% | 15% |
All times in UTC
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