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Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2021 May 01 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 121 Publicado el 2200Z a las 01 May 2021IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 30-2100Z hasta 01-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 1 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (02 May, 03 May, 04 May).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 30-2100Z a 01-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 385 km/s at 01/1803Z. Total IMF reached 8 nT at
01/1506Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -6 nT at
01/1345Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 522 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on days one, two, and three (02 May, 03
May, 04 May).
III. Probabilidades del evento 02 May a 04 May
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 01 May 072 Previsto 02 May-04 May 070/070/072 Media de 90 Días 01 May 076
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 30 Apr 006/006 Estimado Afr/Ap 01 May 005/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 02 May-04 May 014/015-011/012-011/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 02 May a 04 May
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 50% | 40% | 40% |
All times in UTC
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