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Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2021 May 03 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 123 Publicado el 2200Z a las 03 May 2021IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 02-2100Z hasta 03-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (04 May, 05 May, 06 May).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 02-2100Z a 03-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 503 km/s at 03/1635Z. Total IMF reached 13 nT at
03/0502Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at
03/0914Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 231 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on day one (04 May) and quiet levels on
days two and three (05 May, 06 May).
III. Probabilidades del evento 04 May a 06 May
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 03 May 072 Previsto 04 May-06 May 072/074/076 Media de 90 Días 03 May 076
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 02 May 012/009 Estimado Afr/Ap 03 May 007/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 04 May-06 May 009/010-006/005-006/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 04 May a 06 May
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 40% | 20% | 10% |
All times in UTC
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