Viendo archivo del martes, 18 mayo 2021
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2021 May 18 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 138 Publicado el 2200Z a las 18 May 2021IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 17-2100Z hasta 18-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C1 event observed at
18/0209Z from Region 2824 (N19E65). There are currently 2 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a slight chance for a C-class flare on days one, two, and three (19
May, 20 May, 21 May).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 17-2100Z a 18-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 410 km/s at 18/0316Z. Total IMF reached 10
nT at 18/0142Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -9 nT at
18/0130Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 177 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on days one and two (19 May, 20 May) and
quiet to unsettled levels on day three (21 May).
III. Probabilidades del evento 19 May a 21 May
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 18 May 076 Previsto 19 May-21 May 075/074/073 Media de 90 Días 18 May 076
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 17 May 006/006 Estimado Afr/Ap 18 May 012/014 Previsto Afr/Ap 19 May-21 May 015/016-012/012-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 19 May a 21 May
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 25% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 05% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 50% | 30% | 20% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
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| Último evento clase M | 29/12/2025 | M2.2 |
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