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Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2021 Jun 03 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 154 Publicado el 2200Z a las 03 Jun 2021IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 02-2100Z hasta 03-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 2 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a slight chance for a C-class flare on days one, two, and three (04
Jun, 05 Jun, 06 Jun).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 02-2100Z a 03-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 321 km/s at 03/0116Z. Total IMF reached 12
nT at 03/0628Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -6 nT at
03/0530Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 157 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (04 Jun) and quiet levels
on days two and three (05 Jun, 06 Jun).
III. Probabilidades del evento 04 Jun a 06 Jun
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 03 Jun 076 Previsto 04 Jun-06 Jun 075/075/075 Media de 90 Días 03 Jun 077
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 02 Jun 005/005 Estimado Afr/Ap 03 Jun 008/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 04 Jun-06 Jun 008/008-005/005-006/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 04 Jun a 06 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 25% | 10% | 10% |
All times in UTC
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