Viendo archivo del lunes, 21 junio 2021
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2021 Jun 21 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 172 Publicado el 2200Z a las 21 Jun 2021IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 20-2100Z hasta 21-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 1 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (22 Jun, 23 Jun, 24 Jun).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 20-2100Z a 21-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 395 km/s at 20/2102Z. Total IMF reached 5
nT at 21/1758Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -3 nT at
20/2111Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 3330 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one and two (22 Jun, 23 Jun) and quiet to
unsettled levels on day three (24 Jun).
III. Probabilidades del evento 22 Jun a 24 Jun
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 21 Jun 079 Previsto 22 Jun-24 Jun 080/080/080 Media de 90 Días 21 Jun 076
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 20 Jun 004/003 Estimado Afr/Ap 21 Jun 004/004 Previsto Afr/Ap 22 Jun-24 Jun 005/005-005/005-007/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 22 Jun a 24 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 20% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 10% | 25% |
All times in UTC
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