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Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2021 Jun 28 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 179 Publicado el 2200Z a las 28 Jun 2021IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 27-2100Z hasta 28-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C2 event observed at
28/0935Z from Region 2836 (S28E21). There are currently 3 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a chance for a C-class flares on days one, two, and three (29 Jun,
30 Jun, 01 Jul).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 27-2100Z a 28-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 384 km/s at 27/2340Z. Total IMF reached 5 nT at
28/0105Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -3 nT at
27/2231Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 343 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on day one (29 Jun) and quiet to unsettled levels
on days two and three (30 Jun, 01 Jul).
III. Probabilidades del evento 29 Jun a 01 Jul
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 28 Jun 089 Previsto 29 Jun-01 Jul 090/090/090 Media de 90 Días 28 Jun 077
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 27 Jun 004/005 Estimado Afr/Ap 28 Jun 003/004 Previsto Afr/Ap 29 Jun-01 Jul 005/005-008/010-008/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 29 Jun a 01 Jul
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 15% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 25% | 30% |
All times in UTC
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