Viendo archivo del domingo, 11 julio 2021
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2021 Jul 11 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 192 Publicado el 2200Z a las 11 Jul 2021IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 10-2100Z hasta 11-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 2 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (12 Jul, 13 Jul, 14 Jul).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 10-2100Z a 11-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 444 km/s at 10/2335Z. Total IMF reached 5 nT at
10/2142Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -3 nT at
11/1311Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 159 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on days one, two, and three (12 Jul, 13
Jul, 14 Jul).
III. Probabilidades del evento 12 Jul a 14 Jul
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 11 Jul 074 Previsto 12 Jul-14 Jul 074/074/073 Media de 90 Días 11 Jul 078
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 10 Jul 008/007 Estimado Afr/Ap 11 Jul 003/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 12 Jul-14 Jul 012/012-014/016-011/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 12 Jul a 14 Jul
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 35% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 40% | 50% | 40% |
All times in UTC
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