Viendo archivo del miércoles, 14 julio 2021
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2021 Jul 14 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 195 Publicado el 2200Z a las 14 Jul 2021IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 13-2100Z hasta 14-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 2 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (15 Jul, 16 Jul, 17 Jul).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 13-2100Z a 14-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 393 km/s at 14/2009Z. Total IMF reached 13
nT at 14/1741Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -11 nT at
14/1647Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 135 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on day one (15 Jul) and quiet levels on
days two and three (16 Jul, 17 Jul).
III. Probabilidades del evento 15 Jul a 17 Jul
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 14 Jul 072 Previsto 15 Jul-17 Jul 072/075/075 Media de 90 Días 14 Jul 078
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 13 Jul 007/005 Estimado Afr/Ap 14 Jul 010/013 Previsto Afr/Ap 15 Jul-17 Jul 009/008-005/005-006/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 15 Jul a 17 Jul
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 30% | 10% | 10% |
All times in UTC
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