Viendo archivo del miércoles, 4 agosto 2021

Informe actividad solar

Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2021 Aug 04 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 216 Publicado el 2200Z a las 04 Aug 2021

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 03-2100Z hasta 04-2100Z

Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 1 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low with a slight chance for a C-class flare on days one and two (05 Aug, 06 Aug) and expected to be very low on day three (07 Aug).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 03-2100Z a 04-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 442 km/s at 03/2322Z. Total IMF reached 7 nT at 03/2116Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -6 nT at 03/2114Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 1132 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one and three (05 Aug, 07 Aug) and quiet to active levels on day two (06 Aug).
III. Probabilidades del evento 05 Aug a 07 Aug
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       04 Aug 071
  Previsto   05 Aug-07 Aug 072/072/070
  Media de 90 Días        04 Aug 079

V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 03 Aug  013/014
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 04 Aug  005/005
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 05 Aug-07 Aug  007/008-010/012-008/008

VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 05 Aug a 07 Aug
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo20%30%20%
Tormenta Menor05%10%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo15%15%20%
Tormenta Menor25%30%30%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa25%40%25%

All times in UTC

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