Viendo archivo del domingo, 12 septiembre 2021
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2021 Sep 12 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 255 Publicado el 2200Z a las 12 Sep 2021IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 11-2100Z hasta 12-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 3 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be low with a
slight chance for an M-class flare on days one and two (13 Sep, 14 Sep)
and expected to be very low with a chance for a C-class flares and a
slight chance for an M-class flare on day three (15 Sep).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 11-2100Z a 12-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 405 km/s at 12/2059Z. Total IMF reached 10 nT at
11/2103Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -7 nT at
12/0834Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 158 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (13 Sep, 14 Sep, 15
Sep).
III. Probabilidades del evento 13 Sep a 15 Sep
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 12 Sep 088 Previsto 13 Sep-15 Sep 086/082/082 Media de 90 Días 12 Sep 082
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 11 Sep 008/007 Estimado Afr/Ap 12 Sep 005/006 Previsto Afr/Ap 13 Sep-15 Sep 006/005-006/005-006/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 13 Sep a 15 Sep
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 20% | 20% | 20% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 04/02/2026 | X4.21 |
| Último evento clase M | 16/02/2026 | M2.4 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 16/02/2026 | Kp6 (G2) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
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| Last 30 days | 115.9 +4.8 |