Viendo archivo del domingo, 24 octubre 2021
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2021 Oct 24 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 297 Publicado el 2200Z a las 24 Oct 2021IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 23-2100Z hasta 24-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 3 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a chance for a C-class flares and a slight chance for an M-class
flare on days one, two, and three (25 Oct, 26 Oct, 27 Oct).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 23-2100Z a 24-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 373 km/s at 24/2052Z. Total IMF reached 6 nT at
24/0820Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at
24/0831Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 151 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one and two (25 Oct, 26 Oct) and quiet to
unsettled levels on day three (27 Oct).
III. Probabilidades del evento 25 Oct a 27 Oct
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 24 Oct 093 Previsto 25 Oct-27 Oct 094/095/095 Media de 90 Días 24 Oct 083
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 23 Oct 002/001 Estimado Afr/Ap 24 Oct 004/004 Previsto Afr/Ap 25 Oct-27 Oct 006/005-006/005-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 25 Oct a 27 Oct
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 20% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 20% | 25% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 08/12/2025 | X1.1 |
| Último evento clase M | 29/12/2025 | M1.0 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 22/12/2025 | Kp5 (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Último día sin manchas | 08/06/2022 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| noviembre 2025 | 91.8 -22.8 |
| diciembre 2025 | 116.5 +24.7 |
| Last 30 days | 116.2 +30.6 |