Viendo archivo del sábado, 6 noviembre 2021
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2021 Nov 06 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 310 Publicado el 2200Z a las 06 Nov 2021IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 05-2100Z hasta 06-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C2 event observed at
05/2157Z from Region 2894 (S27E66). There are currently 3 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a chance for a C-class flares on days one, two, and three (07 Nov,
08 Nov, 09 Nov).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 05-2100Z a 06-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 634 km/s at 06/0132Z. Total IMF reached 10
nT at 06/0006Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
06/1606Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 1633 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one and two (07 Nov, 08 Nov)
and quiet levels on day three (09 Nov).
III. Probabilidades del evento 07 Nov a 09 Nov
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 06 Nov 082 Previsto 07 Nov-09 Nov 085/085/082 Media de 90 Días 06 Nov 086
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 05 Nov 009/010 Estimado Afr/Ap 06 Nov 014/016 Previsto Afr/Ap 07 Nov-09 Nov 008/008-008/008-006/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 07 Nov a 09 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 25% | 25% | 10% |
All times in UTC
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