Viendo archivo del miércoles, 10 noviembre 2021
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2021 Nov 10 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 314 Publicado el 2200Z a las 10 Nov 2021IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 09-2100Z hasta 10-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 3 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a chance for a C-class flares on days one, two, and three (11 Nov,
12 Nov, 13 Nov).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 09-2100Z a 10-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 469 km/s at 10/1553Z. Total IMF reached 6
nT at 09/2201Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -6 nT at
09/2157Z. Protons greater than 10 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
peak level of 2 pfu at 09/2125Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at
geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 1711 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (11 Nov, 12 Nov, 13
Nov).
III. Probabilidades del evento 11 Nov a 13 Nov
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 10 Nov 088 Previsto 11 Nov-13 Nov 088/088/086 Media de 90 Días 10 Nov 087
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 09 Nov 006/005 Estimado Afr/Ap 10 Nov 008/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 11 Nov-13 Nov 006/005-006/005-007/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 11 Nov a 13 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 20% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 10% | 25% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 04/02/2026 | X4.21 |
| Último evento clase M | 25/02/2026 | M2.4 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 03/03/2026 | Kp5 (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Last 365 days | 3 días |
| 2026 | 3 días (4%) |
| Último día sin manchas | 24/02/2026 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
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