Viendo archivo del sábado, 27 noviembre 2021
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2021 Nov 27 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 331 Publicado el 2200Z a las 27 Nov 2021IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 26-2100Z hasta 27-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 3 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a chance for a C-class flares on days one, two, and three (28 Nov,
29 Nov, 30 Nov).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 26-2100Z a 27-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 385 km/s at 27/0922Z. Total IMF reached 5 nT at
26/2105Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
27/1122Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 869 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on day one (28 Nov), quiet to unsettled
levels on day two (29 Nov) and quiet levels on day three (30 Nov).
III. Probabilidades del evento 28 Nov a 30 Nov
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 27 Nov 092 Previsto 28 Nov-30 Nov 090/090/092 Media de 90 Días 27 Nov 087
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 26 Nov 003/002 Estimado Afr/Ap 27 Nov 006/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 28 Nov-30 Nov 016/018-008/008-006/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 28 Nov a 30 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 05% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 15% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 65% | 25% | 10% |
All times in UTC
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