Viendo archivo del lunes, 6 diciembre 2021
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2021 Dec 06 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 340 Publicado el 2200Z a las 06 Dec 2021IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 05-2100Z hasta 06-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C1 event observed at
06/0622Z from Region 2902 (N13W89). There are currently 1 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a slight chance for a C-class flare on day one (07 Dec) and
expected to be very low on days two and three (08 Dec, 09 Dec).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 05-2100Z a 06-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 534 km/s at 05/2324Z. Total IMF reached 7
nT at 06/1552Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at
05/2212Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 2152 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (07 Dec) and quiet levels
on days two and three (08 Dec, 09 Dec).
III. Probabilidades del evento 07 Dec a 09 Dec
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 06 Dec 080 Previsto 07 Dec-09 Dec 080/080/080 Media de 90 Días 06 Dec 087
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 05 Dec 006/006 Estimado Afr/Ap 06 Dec 005/006 Previsto Afr/Ap 07 Dec-09 Dec 008/008-006/005-006/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 07 Dec a 09 Dec
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 20% | 20% | 15% |
All times in UTC
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