Viendo archivo del miércoles, 30 marzo 2022
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2022 Mar 30 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 89 Publicado el 2200Z a las 30 Mar 2022IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 29-2100Z hasta 30-2100Z Solar activity has been at high levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a X1 event observed at
30/1737Z. There are currently 4 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with
a chance for M-class flares and a slight chance for an X-class flare on
days one, two, and three (31 Mar, 01 Apr, 02 Apr).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 29-2100Z a 30-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 425 km/s at 30/0223Z. Total IMF reached 5 nT at
30/2037Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at
30/2041Z. Protons greater than 10 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
peak level of 2 pfu at 29/2155Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at
geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 243 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at active to severe storm levels on day one (31 Mar), unsettled to
major storm levels on day two (01 Apr) and quiet to unsettled levels on
day three (02 Apr). Protons have a slight chance of crossing threshold
on day one (31 Mar) and have a slight chance of crossing threshold on
days two and three (01 Apr, 02 Apr).
III. Probabilidades del evento 31 Mar a 02 Apr
| Clase M | 50% | 35% | 35% |
| Clase X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Protón | 20% | 10% | 10% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 30 Mar 151 Previsto 31 Mar-02 Apr 150/150/145 Media de 90 Días 30 Mar 110
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 29 Mar 006/008 Estimado Afr/Ap 30 Mar 009/014 Previsto Afr/Ap 31 Mar-02 Apr 032/058-025/032-008/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 31 Mar a 02 Apr
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 35% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 45% | 25% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 20% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 80% | 70% | 30% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
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