Viendo archivo del miércoles, 11 mayo 2022
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2022 May 11 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 131 Publicado el 2200Z a las 11 May 2022IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 10-2100Z hasta 11-2100Z Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24
hours. The largest solar event of the period was a M2 event observed at
11/1858Z. There are currently 4 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be moderate
with a slight chance for an X-class flare on day one (12 May) and
expected to be low with a chance for M-class flares and a slight chance
for an X-class flare on days two and three (13 May, 14 May).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 10-2100Z a 11-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 322 km/s at 11/1414Z. Total IMF reached 11 nT at
11/1558Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -10 nT at
11/1912Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 163 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one, two, and three (12 May,
13 May, 14 May).
III. Probabilidades del evento 12 May a 14 May
| Clase M | 55% | 50% | 50% |
| Clase X | 20% | 15% | 15% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 11 May 133 Previsto 12 May-14 May 124/124/126 Media de 90 Días 11 May 118
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 10 May 002/003 Estimado Afr/Ap 11 May 005/007 Previsto Afr/Ap 12 May-14 May 005/006-008/008-010/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 12 May a 14 May
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 25% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 25% | 30% | 40% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 08/12/2025 | X1.1 |
| Último evento clase M | 12/12/2025 | M1.1 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 12/12/2025 | Kp5 (G1) |
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