Viendo archivo del sábado, 14 mayo 2022
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2022 May 14 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 134 Publicado el 2200Z a las 14 May 2022IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 13-2100Z hasta 14-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C4 event observed at
14/2016Z from Region 3010 (S15E48). There are currently 5 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with
a chance for M-class flares and a slight chance for an X-class flare on
days one, two, and three (15 May, 16 May, 17 May).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 13-2100Z a 14-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 421 km/s at 14/2100Z. Total IMF reached 20
nT at 14/1844Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -6 nT at
13/2127Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 167 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one and three (15 May, 17
May) and unsettled to active levels on day two (16 May).
III. Probabilidades del evento 15 May a 17 May
| Clase M | 35% | 35% | 35% |
| Clase X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 14 May 153 Previsto 15 May-17 May 154/150/148 Media de 90 Días 14 May 120
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 13 May 007/007 Estimado Afr/Ap 14 May 007/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 15 May-17 May 009/012-013/014-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 15 May a 17 May
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 35% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 40% | 45% | 25% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 30/03/2026 | X1.5 |
| Último evento clase M | 04/04/2026 | M1.0 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 03/04/2026 | Kp7- (G3) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Last 365 days | 3 días |
| 2026 | 3 días (3%) |
| Último día sin manchas | 24/02/2026 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| marzo 2026 | 85.9 +7.7 |
| abril 2026 | 133.3 +47.4 |
| Last 30 days | 96.9 +35.1 |
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