Viendo archivo del sábado, 25 junio 2022
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2022 Jun 25 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 176 Publicado el 2200Z a las 25 Jun 2022IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 24-2100Z hasta 25-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C1 event observed at
25/1402Z from Region 3040 (S12E16). There are currently 2 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be low with a
slight chance for an M-class flare on days one and two (26 Jun, 27 Jun)
and expected to be very low with a slight chance for a C-class flare on
day three (28 Jun).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 24-2100Z a 25-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 500 km/s at 24/2342Z. Total IMF reached 13
nT at 25/1104Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -12 nT at
25/1821Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 2035 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to minor storm levels on day one (26 Jun), quiet to
unsettled levels on day two (27 Jun) and quiet to active levels on day
three (28 Jun).
III. Probabilidades del evento 26 Jun a 28 Jun
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 25 Jun 108 Previsto 26 Jun-28 Jun 105/105/095 Media de 90 Días 25 Jun 130
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 24 Jun 008/007 Estimado Afr/Ap 25 Jun 013/017 Previsto Afr/Ap 26 Jun-28 Jun 017/018-008/008-009/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 26 Jun a 28 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 45% | 30% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 10% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 25% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 65% | 40% | 50% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 18/01/2026 | X1.9 |
| Último evento clase M | 21/01/2026 | M3.4 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 28/01/2026 | Kp5+ (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Último día sin manchas | 08/06/2022 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| diciembre 2025 | 124 +32.2 |
| enero 2026 | 119 -5 |
| Last 30 days | 119 +0.7 |