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Informe actividad solar

Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2022 Jul 24 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 205 Publicado el 2200Z a las 24 Jul 2022

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 23-2100Z hasta 24-2100Z

Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a C3 event observed at 23/2241Z from Region 3057 (N17W91). There are currently 6 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be low on days one, two, and three (25 Jul, 26 Jul, 27 Jul).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 23-2100Z a 24-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 586 km/s at 24/0534Z. Total IMF reached 5 nT at 23/2152Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at 23/2329Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 926 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (25 Jul) and quiet levels on days two and three (26 Jul, 27 Jul).
III. Probabilidades del evento 25 Jul a 27 Jul
Clase M05%05%05%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       24 Jul 107
  Previsto   25 Jul-27 Jul 108/106/102
  Media de 90 Días        24 Jul 128

V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 23 Jul  015/018
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 24 Jul  007/009
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 25 Jul-27 Jul  007/008-006/005-006/005

VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 25 Jul a 27 Jul
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo20%10%10%
Tormenta Menor05%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo15%15%15%
Tormenta Menor25%15%15%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa25%20%20%

All times in UTC

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