Viendo archivo del miércoles, 10 agosto 2022
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2022 Aug 10 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 222 Publicado el 2200Z a las 10 Aug 2022IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 09-2100Z hasta 10-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 5 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a chance for a C-class flares on days one, two, and three (11 Aug,
12 Aug, 13 Aug).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 09-2100Z a 10-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 623 km/s at 10/1500Z. Total IMF reached 6
nT at 10/0425Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
10/1457Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 6675 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on day one (11 Aug) and quiet levels on
days two and three (12 Aug, 13 Aug).
III. Probabilidades del evento 11 Aug a 13 Aug
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 10 Aug 108 Previsto 11 Aug-13 Aug 105/105/105 Media de 90 Días 10 Aug 124
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 09 Aug 015/021 Estimado Afr/Ap 10 Aug 010/013 Previsto Afr/Ap 11 Aug-13 Aug 010/012-007/008-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 11 Aug a 13 Aug
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 30% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 50% | 25% | 20% |
All times in UTC
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