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Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2022 Sep 06 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 249 Publicado el 2200Z a las 06 Sep 2022IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 05-2100Z hasta 06-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C2 event observed at
06/1833Z from around the West limb. There are currently 4 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a chance for a C-class flares on days one, two, and three (07 Sep,
08 Sep, 09 Sep).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 05-2100Z a 06-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at unsettled to active levels for the past 24 hours.
Solar wind speed reached a peak of 622 km/s at 06/0112Z. Total IMF
reached 6 nT at 05/2201Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached
-6 nT at 06/0004Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit
reached a peak level of 7271 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on day one (07 Sep), quiet to unsettled
levels on day two (08 Sep) and quiet levels on day three (09 Sep).
III. Probabilidades del evento 07 Sep a 09 Sep
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 06 Sep 126 Previsto 07 Sep-09 Sep 125/122/120 Media de 90 Días 06 Sep 122
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 05 Sep 021/035 Estimado Afr/Ap 06 Sep 016/020 Previsto Afr/Ap 07 Sep-09 Sep 010/012-008/010-007/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 07 Sep a 09 Sep
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 20% | 15% | 10% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 18/01/2026 | X1.9 |
| Último evento clase M | 21/01/2026 | M3.4 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 22/01/2026 | Kp5+ (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Último día sin manchas | 08/06/2022 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| diciembre 2025 | 124 +32.2 |
| enero 2026 | 119.4 -4.6 |
| Last 30 days | 121.1 +6.3 |