Viendo archivo del jueves, 11 agosto 2022
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2022 Aug 11 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 223 Publicado el 2200Z a las 11 Aug 2022IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 10-2100Z hasta 11-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C1 event observed at
11/0658Z from Region 3077 (S17W37). There are currently 5 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a chance for a C-class flares on days one, two, and three (12 Aug,
13 Aug, 14 Aug).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 10-2100Z a 11-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 589 km/s at 11/0504Z. Total IMF reached 9
nT at 11/2052Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -7 nT at
11/1725Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 14595 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on day one (12 Aug) and quiet levels on
days two and three (13 Aug, 14 Aug).
III. Probabilidades del evento 12 Aug a 14 Aug
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 11 Aug 115 Previsto 12 Aug-14 Aug 115/115/115 Media de 90 Días 11 Aug 124
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 10 Aug 010/012 Estimado Afr/Ap 11 Aug 015/022 Previsto Afr/Ap 12 Aug-14 Aug 011/012-005/005-006/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 12 Aug a 14 Aug
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 25% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 55% | 20% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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