Viendo archivo del miércoles, 9 noviembre 2022
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2022 Nov 09 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 313 Publicado el 2200Z a las 09 Nov 2022IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 08-2100Z hasta 09-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C4 event observed at
09/2005Z from Region 3140 (N26E03). There are currently 6 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be low with a
slight chance for an M-class flare on days one, two, and three (10 Nov,
11 Nov, 12 Nov).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 08-2100Z a 09-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 382 km/s at 09/1241Z. Total IMF reached 8
nT at 08/2120Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at
08/2359Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 484 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one, two, and three (10 Nov,
11 Nov, 12 Nov).
III. Probabilidades del evento 10 Nov a 12 Nov
| Clase M | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 09 Nov 138 Previsto 10 Nov-12 Nov 135/135/140 Media de 90 Días 09 Nov 131
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 08 Nov 008/012 Estimado Afr/Ap 09 Nov 010/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 10 Nov-12 Nov 011/010-007/010-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 10 Nov a 12 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 30% | 30% | 25% |
All times in UTC
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