Viendo archivo del domingo, 13 noviembre 2022
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2022 Nov 13 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 317 Publicado el 2200Z a las 13 Nov 2022IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 12-2100Z hasta 13-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C4 event observed at
13/0621Z from Region 3141 (N14W40). There are currently 4 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with
a chance for M-class flares and a slight chance for an X-class flare on
days one, two, and three (14 Nov, 15 Nov, 16 Nov).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 12-2100Z a 13-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 529 km/s at 13/2020Z. Total IMF reached 6
nT at 12/2225Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at
13/1101Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 392 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on day one (14 Nov) and quiet to unsettled levels
on days two and three (15 Nov, 16 Nov). Protons have a slight chance of
crossing threshold on days one, two, and three (14 Nov, 15 Nov, 16 Nov).
III. Probabilidades del evento 14 Nov a 16 Nov
| Clase M | 35% | 35% | 35% |
| Clase X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Protón | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 13 Nov 137 Previsto 14 Nov-16 Nov 135/135/120 Media de 90 Días 13 Nov 132
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 12 Nov 003/003 Estimado Afr/Ap 13 Nov 007/007 Previsto Afr/Ap 14 Nov-16 Nov 005/005-008/010-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 14 Nov a 16 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 20% | 30% | 30% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 18/01/2026 | X1.9 |
| Último evento clase M | 21/01/2026 | M3.4 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 21/01/2026 | Kp7+ (G3) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Último día sin manchas | 08/06/2022 |
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| enero 2026 | 110 -14 |
| Last 30 days | 114.8 +6.7 |