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Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2023 Jan 27 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 27 Publicado el 2200Z a las 27 Jan 2023IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 26-2100Z hasta 27-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C5 event observed at
27/0748Z. There are currently 7 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with
a chance for M-class flares on days one, two, and three (28 Jan, 29 Jan,
30 Jan).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 26-2100Z a 27-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 590 km/s at 27/1438Z. Total IMF reached 9
nT at 27/0754Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -7 nT at
27/0833Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 370 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (28 Jan) and quiet levels
on days two and three (29 Jan, 30 Jan).
III. Probabilidades del evento 28 Jan a 30 Jan
| Clase M | 35% | 35% | 35% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 27 Jan 145 Previsto 28 Jan-30 Jan 150/150/155 Media de 90 Días 27 Jan 152
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 26 Jan 009/008 Estimado Afr/Ap 27 Jan 007/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 28 Jan-30 Jan 008/008-006/005-006/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 28 Jan a 30 Jan
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 15% | 10% | 10% |
All times in UTC
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