Viendo archivo del viernes, 10 marzo 2023

Informe actividad solar

Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2023 Mar 10 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 69 Publicado el 2200Z a las 10 Mar 2023

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 09-2100Z hasta 10-2100Z

Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a C7 event observed at 10/0708Z from Region 3245 (S23W18). There are currently 10 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with a chance for M-class flares on days one, two, and three (11 Mar, 12 Mar, 13 Mar).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 09-2100Z a 10-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 473 km/s at 10/1100Z. Total IMF reached 8 nT at 10/0656Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -6 nT at 10/1527Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 1982 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one, two, and three (11 Mar, 12 Mar, 13 Mar).
III. Probabilidades del evento 11 Mar a 13 Mar
Clase M25%25%25%
Clase X05%05%05%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       10 Mar 171
  Previsto   11 Mar-13 Mar 172/170/160
  Media de 90 Días        10 Mar 172

V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 09 Mar  014/016
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 10 Mar  009/010
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 11 Mar-13 Mar  008/008-009/010-008/008

VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 11 Mar a 13 Mar
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo20%25%20%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo15%15%15%
Tormenta Menor25%30%25%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa25%30%25%

All times in UTC

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