Viendo archivo del sábado, 8 julio 2023
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2023 Jul 08 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 189 Publicado el 2200Z a las 08 Jul 2023IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 07-2100Z hasta 08-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C4 event observed at
08/0144Z from Region 3361 (N24W12). There are currently 11 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with
a chance for M-class flares on days one, two, and three (09 Jul, 10 Jul,
11 Jul).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 07-2100Z a 08-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 498 km/s at 07/2123Z. Total IMF reached 7
nT at 08/2047Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -6 nT at
07/2105Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 830 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on days one and two (09 Jul, 10 Jul) and
quiet to unsettled levels on day three (11 Jul).
III. Probabilidades del evento 09 Jul a 11 Jul
| Clase M | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 08 Jul 161 Previsto 09 Jul-11 Jul 160/155/155 Media de 90 Días 08 Jul 157
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 07 Jul 016/019 Estimado Afr/Ap 08 Jul 009/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 09 Jul-11 Jul 011/012-009/012-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 09 Jul a 11 Jul
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 20% | 20% | 20% |
All times in UTC
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X1.5 solar flare
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M2.7 solar flare, CME arrival possible
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Complex sunspot region 4366
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 30/03/2026 | X1.5 |
| Último evento clase M | 09/04/2026 | M1.0 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 03/04/2026 | Kp7- (G3) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Last 365 days | 3 días |
| 2026 | 3 días (3%) |
| Último día sin manchas | 24/02/2026 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| marzo 2026 | 85.9 +7.7 |
| abril 2026 | 97.2 +11.3 |
| Last 30 days | 95.9 +36.7 |
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