Viendo archivo del lunes, 21 agosto 2023
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2023 Aug 21 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 233 Publicado el 2200Z a las 21 Aug 2023IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 20-2100Z hasta 21-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C4 event observed at
21/0753Z. There are currently 8 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with
a slight chance for an M-class flare on days one, two, and three (22
Aug, 23 Aug, 24 Aug).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 20-2100Z a 21-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 686 km/s at 20/2240Z. Total IMF reached 7
nT at 20/2252Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at
21/0723Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 229 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one, two, and three (22 Aug,
23 Aug, 24 Aug).
III. Probabilidades del evento 22 Aug a 24 Aug
| Clase M | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 21 Aug 149 Previsto 22 Aug-24 Aug 150/155/155 Media de 90 Días 21 Aug 166
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 20 Aug 012/011 Estimado Afr/Ap 21 Aug 008/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 22 Aug-24 Aug 008/010-008/010-007/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 22 Aug a 24 Aug
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 20% | 20% | 20% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 18/01/2026 | X1.9 |
| Último evento clase M | 19/01/2026 | M1.2 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 19/01/2026 | Kp9- (G4) |
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