Viendo archivo del martes, 21 noviembre 2023
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2023 Nov 21 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 325 Publicado el 2200Z a las 21 Nov 2023IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 20-2100Z hasta 21-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C7 event observed at
21/1352Z from Region 3492 (N18E50). There are currently 9 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with
a chance for M-class flares on days one, two, and three (22 Nov, 23 Nov,
24 Nov).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 20-2100Z a 21-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 392 km/s at 21/2044Z. Total IMF reached 13
nT at 21/0647Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -12 nT at
21/0648Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 202 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on days one and two (22 Nov, 23 Nov) and
quiet to unsettled levels on day three (24 Nov).
III. Probabilidades del evento 22 Nov a 24 Nov
| Clase M | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 21 Nov 172 Previsto 22 Nov-24 Nov 175/177/180 Media de 90 Días 21 Nov 146
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 20 Nov 004/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 21 Nov 012/017 Previsto Afr/Ap 22 Nov-24 Nov 012/014-011/012-007/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 22 Nov a 24 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 15% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 30% | 15% | 20% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 08/12/2025 | X1.1 |
| Último evento clase M | 21/12/2025 | M1.3 |
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